Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.404672 3.610385 3.828942 4.079627 4.360730 4.668027 5.031874
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.081185 3.348404 3.645263 4.003103 4.427789 4.922446 5.552690
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.818152 3.119181 3.465153 3.898882 4.438256 5.101871 6.006069
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.620150 2.945337 3.330135 3.829588 4.477896 5.318489 6.544221
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.462507 2.805979 3.223068 3.781851 4.537060 5.567987 7.180818
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.370829 2.739582 3.199625 3.837227 4.738375 6.043985 8.271166
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.210172 2.575329 3.038354 3.693637 4.646390 6.081923 8.682964
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.130679 2.509610 3.000399 3.714541 4.793796 6.512627 9.921773
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.051390 2.438823 2.949987 3.712411 4.906172 6.910723 11.272605
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.947716 2.329658 2.839732 3.613194 4.853875 7.016605 12.062283
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.847889 2.220698 2.723321 3.495492 4.758408 7.028859 12.655628
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.808566 2.191854 2.717509 3.544558 4.947197 7.623648 15.141266
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.775801 2.177559 2.741938 3.660906 5.305902 8.753986 20.889508
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.699274 2.097689 2.665149 3.607929 5.351738 9.234518 25.412683
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.622706 2.013932 2.577395 3.529099 5.338373 9.585272 30.517201
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.559137 1.945785 2.509141 3.477334 5.373107 10.094649 39.062184
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.504613 1.888116 2.453403 3.442184 5.438503 10.741192 54.221063
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.473462 1.863114 2.446772 3.493375 5.702465 12.183172 112.908897
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.408584 1.784994 2.351461 3.374699 5.563557 12.189854 150.514164
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.377017 1.755420 2.332189 3.395250 5.756323 13.595927 1068.345260
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.343644 1.721513 2.303735 3.395654 5.902781 14.988931 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.296677 1.664954 2.235071 3.312461 5.823199 15.303575 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.249465 1.606423 2.160576 3.212615 5.686490 15.269783 NaN